Finance · 08/06/2025

Goldman Sachs has updated its monetary policy outlook for 2025, eliminating the forecast for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January, expecting a terminal rate of 3.5%-3.75%. There is uncertainty regarding the pace of future rate cuts and the terminal rate. Rate cuts are also expected from the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, especially as inflation risks diminish in Japan. The global economy is anticipated to return to moderate inflation, with developed countries generally facing low inflation challenges.

Finance · 08/06/2025

Goldman Sachs analysis suggests that the actual impact of Trump's tariff threats on Asia is lower than expected, with the real concern for investors being policy uncertainty. Once policies are clarified, they could potentially benefit the market. Additionally, the effects of tariffs vary significantly across different regions and industries.

Finance · 08/06/2025

Goldman Sachs has raised its forecast for gold prices to $3,300 by the end of 2025, driven by strong demand for gold from global central banks and increased inflows into gold ETFs. Analysts predict that gold demand will continue to grow, with prices likely to fluctuate between $3,250 and $3,680 in the future.

Finance · 08/06/2025

Goldman Sachs analysts believe that relying solely on the tariff policies from the Trump era cannot reverse the decline of the U.S. manufacturing sector. The real solution lies in technological innovation, particularly the application of AI and robotics, which will play a crucial role in enhancing productivity and transforming the labor market.

Finance · 08/06/2025

A Goldman Sachs report indicates that the market is experiencing a 'golden-haired girl' trend driven by dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve, reduced geopolitical risks, and progress in trade negotiations. The economic growth is moderate with low inflation pressures, creating a favorable environment for the recovery of risk assets.

Finance · 05/07/2025

Goldman Sachs predicts the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady in May but may cut rates in July due to tariff impacts. The Fed's threshold for rate cuts is high, requiring clear evidence of economic slowdown. The impact of tariffs on the job market could be crucial. Investors should pay close attention to summer economic data and adjust their investment strategies accordingly.

Finance · 08/06/2025

Goldman Sachs predicts that the S&P 500 index will rise by 10% over the next 12 months, reaching 6900 points. This expectation is supported by resilient corporate earnings and a weakening dollar, although the market faces risks from trade conflicts in the short term.

Finance · 08/06/2025

According to the latest survey by FactSet, Arm Holdings' (ARM) EPS forecast for 2026 has been revised down from 1.77 to 1.72. The target price is set at 155.00. Analysts expect its revenue to continue growing over the next few years, demonstrating strong market potential.

Finance · 04/30/2025

HSBC significantly lowered its year-end S&P 500 target, reflecting concerns about tariff policies and slowing economic growth. Investors should pay close attention to key data points such as GDP, inflation, corporate earnings, and port freight volume. A defensive investment approach is recommended, with timely adjustments based on data analysis to navigate market volatility. This proactive strategy aims to mitigate potential losses associated with the aforementioned economic headwinds and tariff-related uncertainties.

Finance · 08/20/2025

Capital Economics predicts an 8% drop in US house prices in 2023, making affordability the worst since 1985. High interest rates and a looming economic recession are the primary drivers. Experts anticipate a correction period of at least two years, with a potential recovery in 2024. Both buyers and sellers should navigate this period with caution. The forecast highlights the significant impact of macroeconomic factors on the housing market and suggests a period of adjustment for the industry.

Finance · 07/22/2025

The FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting is a crucial part of the U.S. Federal Reserve, aimed at promoting 'full employment' and 'price stability'. The June 2025 meeting predicts two interest rate cuts, reflecting concerns over slowing economic growth and rising inflation. The FOMC meets at least eight times a year to determine monetary policy and release economic forecasts, providing vital information to the markets.

Finance · 08/06/2025

Spirit AeroSystems has increased its optimistic revenue forecast for the last quarter, expecting to reach $1.66 billion, exceeding market expectations, due to Boeing's restart of production. However, the company still faces a challenge with a $413 million loss, impacted by ongoing tensions in the aerospace supply chain.

Finance · 08/06/2025

The Federal Reserve is set to announce its interest rate decision and economic forecast on Thursday. Maintaining the current policy is nearly a consensus, with the focus on future interest rate trends, employment data, and inflation risks, which will likely attract significant attention from investors and potentially cause market volatility.

Finance · 06/25/2025

The US dollar has recently depreciated due to easing tensions in the Middle East, particularly following a ceasefire between Iran and Israel. The euro has reached a recent high against the dollar, reflecting improved investor sentiment. Additionally, the decline in oil prices has led to gains in risk-sensitive assets. Despite Powell's forecast of rising inflation this summer, the market remains optimistic.

Finance · 07/23/2025

BofA Securities predicts the Federal Reserve may not cut interest rates in 2024, maintaining high rates due to a gradual rise in the unemployment rate and persistent inflationary pressures. This forecast diverges from prevailing market expectations, urging businesses and investors to carefully assess risks. It highlights the importance of monitoring economic data and Federal Reserve policy shifts to navigate potential uncertainties. The prediction emphasizes a cautious approach in light of potentially sustained high interest rates.